2024-10

Recent research achievements in the humanities

The study aimed to use Arima models to predict the impact of money supply on inflation in Iraq during the period from 2000 to 2030 AD. The study problem was summarized in that the rapid increase in money supply that exceeds GDP growth rates leads to higher inflation rates. The study relied on the descriptive analysis methodology and the combination of autoregressive models and moving averages. The study reached a number of results, including: 1. Money supply has no significant effect on inflation during the period from 2000 to 2022 AD. 2. The divergent money supply does not exceed inflation rates in the future if GDP remains high. The study also recommended activating the role of monetary policy tools to maintain the money supply and contain inflation rates.